Simon's Crystal Ball - Predicting the season ahead

By Simon Wright – Follow me on Twitter @Siwri88

It is that time of year where as football fans; we all get excited and energised about the start of a new football season.  We all have unrealistic dreams to start with, but with the knowledge that it is the only time where every team in your division is as equal as the other challengers.

So whether it is a title tilt, a energetic European push or a tense time at the wrong end of the table, the majority of us will go through the normal emotions you’d experience for a supporter over the next nine months.

Consequently, I have decided to stick my neck on the line and using my Crystal Ball (pictured), predict what is to happen between now and the World Cup next summer.

Last season’s forecasts were mixed, especially in the Premier League.  While I correctly said Manchester United would regain the title, I had QPR down to finish above Liverpool in eighth place and West Ham United to be relegated.  Both of those turned out to be spectacular failures.

However, with some fictional tales behind the stories, here is what I think will happen in the forthcoming season.

Barclays Premier League
CHAMPIONS: Chelsea
RUNNERS-UP: Manchester United
THIRD PLACE: Manchester City
EUROPEAN QUALIFIERS: Tottenham (4th), Liverpool (5th), Arsenal (6th), Norwich City (Fair Play Award)
RELEGATED: Hull City (18th), Fulham (19th), Crystal Palace (20th)

Football is left reeling by a couple of major transfers in August.  Whilst Gareth Bale leaves for Real Madrid for a world record £85m, Luis Suarez stays at Liverpool for another season after Arsenal refuse to meet Liverpool’s asking price.  Wayne Rooney is also on the move as Chelsea purchase him for £33m on transfer deadline day after Rooney decides to make himself unavailable for selection for Manchester United under David Moyes.

Despite two defeats in their first three games, United end up top of the tree on Christmas Day and play some breathtaking football under their new manager.  With eight games to go, they have an almost unassailable advantage of eight points, but somehow throw it away for the second time in three seasons.  Chelsea record an impressive unbeaten run in the league from mid-February until the end of the campaign, only dropping four more points along the way.  They overhaul United on a dramatic final day when John Terry heads home the winning goal away at Cardiff and the Red Devils lose 2-0 at Southampton.

Manchester City never really get into title contention, despite Sergio Aguero turning out to be Robin van Persie’s closest challenger for the Golden Boot.  They finish a distant third.  It is Liverpool who complete the top four at the turn of the year, but the lack of firepower hurts them in the second half of the campaign.  An injury to Daniel Sturridge in early February rules him out for months and the World Cup to boot, whilst Suarez is sent off in no fewer than three Premier League games during the campaign.  Brendan Rodgers’ side still finish a creditable fifth, making up for two disappointing showings in the domestic cup competitions.

The final Champions League spot goes to Tottenham, who also hold the joint-best defensive record in the Premier League this season with Manchester United.  Van Persie wins both main individual gongs, while Matthew Lowton of Aston Villa is the PFA Young Player of the Year.

Once again, Arsenal fail to sign anyone of any note in August, as Arsene Wenger sticks to his guns despite regular fans criticism.  He does bring in Portuguese defender Pepe in January from Real Madrid after Thomas Vermaelen hands in a transfer request and switches to Barcelona in mid-season, but the Gunners frustrate their supporters again.  A sixth-place finish and a ninth year without silverware proves too much for Wenger.  Despite the Arsenal board offering him a new five-year contract, Wenger decides to retire from football management, confirming his intention in April.  He will take up a part-time role as technical director of the French Football Federation following their shock loss to Greece in the European playoffs for the World Cup.  Wenger’s replacement for 2014-15 is the Atletico Madrid boss Diego Simeone.

At the bottom of the table, Crystal Palace show little resistance and are relegated with just 23 points and a goal difference of -48.  Fulham end up parting company with Martin Jol and Dimitar Berbatov goes on strike just when they need him the most.  Roy Keane leaves his role as ITV pundit to take the vacancy, but the Cottagers’ 12-year stay in the top flight comes to an end.  Hull City also make an instant return as despite being bottom at Christmas and having to wait until the end of November for their first win, Cardiff City survive by a single point.

It is a miserable season at Newcastle United too.  Alan Pardew is sacked before Christmas with the club in the bottom three and having suffered a League Cup exit to lower league Accrington Stanley.  Harry Redknapp walks out on QPR in early January to guide the Magpies to safety, helped by 10 goals from his January signing Peter Crouch.

Crouch doesn’t play for Stoke after the beginning of October, when feeling neglected about being asked to play as a left winger by Mark Hughes; the pair have a spectacular bust-up on the club’s training ground.  Stoke lose 7-0 on the opening weekend to Liverpool, and also take a similar beating from Manchester City during the season.  Hughes is sacked thanks to serious fan pressure in March, but the club comfortably survive again under the run of caretaker boss Mark Bowen. 

Sky Bet Football League Championship
CHAMPIONS: Watford
RUNNERS-UP: Wigan Athletic
PLAYOFF WINNERS: Reading (3rd)
OTHER PLAYOFF PLACES: Leicester City (4th), Leeds United (5th), Charlton Athletic (6th)
RELEGATED: Bournemouth (22nd), Barnsley (23rd), Yeovil Town (24th)

The Championship season is as unpredictable as ever, though it eventually turns out to be comfortable promotion for both Watford and Wigan.

Both sides play an attractive style of attacking football and rise from their places of fourth and seventh at Christmas to control the league in the second half of the term.  Watford’s cause is helped by 30 goals from Troy Deeney, who finishes as the league’s top scorer and sweeps all the major Football League awards.

Leicester City are top on Christmas Day, but sack Nigel Pearson in mysterious circumstances in January, believed to be over failing to complete the signing of unhappy Stoke winger Matthew Etherington when the board don’t provide the necessary funds to complete the deal.  Alan Curbishley returns to football management on a short-term contract and guides the Foxes to the playoff final, but they lose on a penalty shootout to Reading.

Leeds United and Charlton Athletic complete the playoff picture.  Charlton’s rise is exceptional, as they are in the bottom four in December before a takeover of the club by a group of Serbian investors.  Seven players arrive in January and the club never look back until defeat in the playoff semis to Reading.  That is despite the departure of manager Chris Powell in January, when he takes the vacancy left by Harry Redknapp at QPR.

It is another sorry season for Blackburn Rovers.  The club dismiss Gary Bowyer by mutual consent at the start of October, and then appoint Tim Sherwood as manager, only to fire him after just three games and 22 days in the job.  After asking former Sky Sports analyst Andy Gray to return from Doha to become the club’s new director of football and being turned down by the ex-Everton striker, it is the combined efforts of Danny Murphy and Peter Reid that keep the club afloat.  Karl Robinson leaves MK Dons at the end of the season to become permanent boss, with Murphy being appointed his assistant.

Yeovil Town make a quick return to League One.  Despite notable home victories over QPR, Leeds United and Bolton Wanderers during the season, Gary Johnson’s side endure a miserable away record, notching up just one victory and registering 18 defeats in their 23 trips up and down the country.  They are joined in League One by Barnsley and Bournemouth, who go down on the final day of the campaign as Sheffield Wednesday escape by the skin of their teeth.

Sky Bet Football League One
CHAMPIONS: Brentford
RUNNERS-UP: Sheffield United
PLAYOFF WINNERS: Peterborough United (4th)
OTHER PLAYOFF PLACES: Bristol City (3rd), Milton Keynes Dons (5th), Walsall (6th)
RELEGATED: Carlisle United (21st), Colchester United (22nd), Leyton Orient (23rd), Oldham Athletic (24th)

Sheffield United score maximum points from their first five matches.  However, it is Brentford who finally get it right and earn promotion to the second tier as champions.  The Londoners are helped by Clayton Donaldson’s 29 goals as he finishes as top scorer.

The Blades hang on for second spot, and it is Peterborough United who end up completing the promotion picture after a comfortable 2-0 victory in the playoff final over surprise package Walsall.  Bristol City and Milton Keynes Dons also make the playoffs, but both fall at the semi-final stage.  Another playoff failure is too much for Karl Robinson who quits, taking charge of crisis club Blackburn Rovers.

Coventry City fans get the best news at the start of the season as they finally agree a smaller rent fee to stay at the Ricoh Arena rather than make the lengthy trip to Sixfields to groundshare with Northampton Town.  That is as good as it gets for the Sky Blues, who get placed under another transfer embargo and wind up in a distant 16th place. 

Relegated sides are Carlisle United, who fail to win their final match and slip behind Shrewsbury Town.  Colchester United, Leyton Orient and Oldham Athletic are the other unlucky sides to lose their League One status.


Sky Bet Football League Two
CHAMPIONS: Rochdale
RUNNERS-UP: Burton Albion
PROMOTED: Wycombe Wanderers
PLAYOFF WINNERS: Cheltenham Town (6th)
OTHER PLAYOFF PLACES: Scunthorpe United (4th), Hartlepool United (5th), Fleetwood Town (7th)
RELEGATED: York City (23rd), Dagenham & Redbridge (24th)

The title race in League Two is controlled throughout by Rochdale.  They hit top spot in late September and never relinquish it afterwards, ending up champions by a magnificent 12 points from Burton Albion.

The final promotion spot goes to Wycombe Wanderers, whilst Cheltenham Town overcome Scunthorpe United after extra-time in the playoff final.  York City and Dagenham & Redbridge drop out of the Football League, and the Daggers slip into administration following their demise.  They are replaced by Luton Town and Forest Green Rovers from the Conference.

FA Cup with Budweiser
WINNERS: Manchester United
FINALISTS: Arsenal
SEMI-FINALISTS: Southampton and West Ham United
QUARTER-FINALISTS: Chelsea, Swansea City, Notts County and Charlton Athletic

Manchester United’s 10-year drought without an FA Cup trophy ends in May 2014 as Moyes finishes the year with some silverware despite the dramatic league collapse.  The Red Devils start their journey with two goals in the last 10 minutes to win at Hillsborough in round three against Sheffield Wednesday.

After blitzing non-league Cambridge United 6-1 in round four, three first half goals are enough to beat Tottenham in round five by three goals to nil.  A narrow 2-1 quarter-final success at home to Swansea City takes them to the semis, where Southampton are beaten on penalties after a pulsating 3-3 draw.

United will meet Arsenal in the final.  The Gunners need a replay to overcome Stoke City in the third round, before dispensing with Leicester City, Bolton Wanderers, and Chelsea in a gripping 4-2 quarter-final at the Emirates and West Ham United 4-1 in the final four.

Other shock surprises in the competition see Watford beat Everton in round three, and Liverpool humiliated at home in the fourth round by Nottingham Forest.  Notts County make the final eight with home victories against Crystal Palace and West Brom along the way.  

Manchester City are eliminated by a controversial stoppage time penalty by Chelsea in a fourth round replay, while holders Wigan Athletic are dumped out by Sunderland at the same stage.

In the final itself, one goal from Danny Welbeck midway through the first half settles a tight and tense match at Wembley Stadium.  Arsenal’s silverware drought continues, as United have something to smile about after a testing first season for Moyes in the dugout.

Capital One Cup
WINNERS: Tottenham Hotspur
RUNNERS-UP: Manchester United
SEMI-FINALISTS: Southampton and Leeds United
QUARTER-FINALISTS: Manchester City, Brighton & Hove Albion, Wolves and Stoke City

Two goals from the inspired Mousa Dembele power Tottenham to victory in the Capital One Cup against Manchester United.  Spurs beat Southampton over two legs in the semi-finals 4-3 on aggregate, whilst Manchester United comfortably dealt with Championship side Leeds United 7-0 on aggregate.

The League Cup throws up its usual surprises.  Aston Villa knocked out in round two by Brentford on penalties, Wolves stun Liverpool in the third round at Molineux and Leeds shocking Manchester City at the final eight stage at the Etihad.

Two goals from Dembele put Spurs two goals up in the final, but a nervy final 10 minutes is set-up by a 25-yard screamer from Antonio Valencia.  However, it is Tottenham’s day as they cope well this season with life after Gareth Bale.

UEFA Champions League
WINNERS: Real Madrid
RUNNERS-UP: Barcelona
SEMI-FINALISTS: Bayern Munich and Manchester City
QUARTER-FINALISTS: Arsenal, Atletico Madrid, Manchester United and AC Milan

After 12 years of constant frustration in the world’s premier club competition, Real Madrid finally achieve the pinnacle and become 10-time European Cup winners.

It is an engrossing season, and Madrid have their moments of madness.  They need a penalty shootout to see off PSG in the last 16, and a last-minute winner from Ronaldo edges out AC Milan in the quarter-finals after two largely dire encounters.

Ancelotti’s men turn on the style though in the semi-finals against holders Bayern Munich.  A 2-0 away win in Germany with goals from Bale and Ozil set them up to finish the job in the Bernabeu, which they do with a 3-1 home victory. 

It means they play bitter Spanish rivals Barcelona in the final.  Barca win an epic semi-final against Manchester City.  Both games finish 1-1 after 90 minutes with the decisive second leg in Manchester.  When Vincent Kompany heads City infront in the opening moments of extra time, it looks like the Citizens will head for the final, only for Jordi Alba to break English hearts with a breathtaking solo equaliser with just three minutes of the extra period remaining.  The 2-2 final scoreline takes the Catalans to Lisbon on away goals.

Barcelona had already taken the scalp of Arsenal in the final eight, whilst Manchester United were eliminated by Bayern Munich at the same stage, again on the away goals rule.  Chelsea disappointed in two legs against Atletico Madrid in the round of 16, losing 1-0 at Stamford Bridge and 3-1 in the Vicente Calderon to drift out of the competition 4-1 on aggregate.  Mourinho in his usual style doesn’t take things well and earns a lengthy UEFA touchline ban after calling the referee in the first leg a ‘cheat’ and claiming he was ‘bribed by some Malaysian’ after the Blues are denied two clear penalty shouts.

So to the final itself, and it begins at breakneck pace.  Barcelona draw first blood, as Messi escapes the clutches of Sergio Ramos to slide Martino’s side ahead after 12 minutes.  Real Madrid draw level just three minutes later, courtesy of a header from Varane after slack marking from a set play.  Then, Bale hits a corker on the stroke of half-time leaving Victor Valdes clutching at thin air.  Despite losing Marcelo to a nasty head injury in the second half, Madrid hold on for a 2-1 victory to earn the biggest prize in Europe back at long last.

UEFA Europa League
WINNERS: Tottenham Hotspur
RUNNERS-UP: Lazio
SEMI-FINALISTS: Galatasaray and Lyon
QUARTER-FINALISTS: Udinese, Swansea City, Lyon and Metalist Kharkiv

The UEFA Europa League stays in London and switches destination from west to north of the capital.  Goals from Dempsey, Soldado and Vertonghen help Tottenham to the main prize and a surprise trophy double for AVB’s men.  Lazio are simply no match as they surrender 3-0 in the final in Turin, then lose control in the dying stages and by full-time, have been reduced to nine men.

It is a good season in the competition for Swansea City, whose fans enjoy memorable knockout victories over Sevilla and Bayer Leverkusen before falling to Lyon in the quarter-finals.
Wigan end up making little impact and are eliminated in the group stages with just two points from six games in a group that includes the might of Valencia and Rubin Kazan.

Other Major League Title Winners
La Liga:                                  Barcelona
Bundesliga:                          Bayern Munich
LFP:                                        PSG
Serie A:                                  Napoli
Eredivisie:                             PSV Eindhoven
LIGA Zon Sagres:                Benfica
Scottish Premiership:        Celtic

2014 FIFA World Cup
WINNERS: Germany
RUNNERS-UP: Argentina
SEMI-FINALISTS: Brazil and Spain
QUARTER-FINALISTS: Italy, Portugal, Belgium and Chile
ENGLAND: Eliminated in the group stages with just two points from three games

Which takes us to the FIFA World Cup, and the draw for England is not good.  They are paired with Italy, Ghana and newcomers Venezuela after failing to win a seeding from FIFA.  Group G begins with a disappointing 1-1 draw with Venezuela.  Although Wayne Rooney heads the Three Lions ahead, goalkeeper Joe Hart is sent off and Venezuela snatch a point in the final minute.

Another draw follows in the next match with Ghana, this time after slipping a goal behind.  Danny Welbeck registers in the second half, but it means victory is required against Italy in the final Group G encounter.  It is a poor match, but is settled in the last 20 minutes by a breakaway from the Italians, finished off by Claudio Marchisio.

Two points from three games is simply not good enough and Roy Hodgson steps aside, as England elect to go foreign again.  Roberto di Matteo accepts the job in the close season and will take England to the 2016 European Championship, in a group that will also include Scotland.

Spain’s grip on the major prizes is loosened at last by Argentina in the semi-finals, after Gonzalo Higuain scores the only goal in the first five minutes.  A 4-2 penalty shootout victory for Germany over the hosts means it is a repeat of the 1986 and 1990 World Cup finals.

The showpiece event is a disappointment until the final 20 minutes.  Bastian Schweinsteiger delivers two thunderbolts from distance in four second half minutes.  Although Sergio Aguero pulls a goal back in stoppage time, Germany hang on to win their fourth World Cup in the Maracana.


The tournament is a great spectacle, with just four 0-0 draws in 64 games, and plenty of goals throughout, although 28 red cards suggests player discipline is only getting worse in the beautiful game.

So that is football in 2013/14 - let's see how much of this comes true.

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